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Prediction Markets

For the “serious” trader. Go on you know you want too…

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The Prediction Market where you can buy and sell “shares” in financial, political, weather and other important subjects. Intrade Prediction Markets

A parable about how one nation came to financial ruin

The Man has spoken and what he says is simple, makes sense but no one will listen. A parable about how one nation came to financial ruin. – By Charles Munger | Slate Magazine

Buzz off

This Google Buzz thing is a total pain in the arse to kill, why on earth they defaulted the thing to “on” I do not know. The following link is useful because unfortunately killing the buzz isn’t as simple as hitting the off switch. Buzz off: Disabling Google Buzz

Smart People should do Stupid Stuff

Smart People should do Stupid Stuff | david wurtz

Why I gave away my company to charity

Why I gave away my company to charity | Derek Sivers

The Limits of Control

Unfortunately the essence of this article rings true with all my experiences about “control” in China. The Limits of Control: a skeptic’s view on China, Copenhagen, and Compliance | Shanghai Scrap

Adam Smith

A ‘society of strangers’ is a commercial society which Smith identifies in the Wealth of Nations as one where ‘everyman is a merchant’. A commercial society’s coherence – its social bonds – do not depend on love and affection. You can coexist socially with those to whom you are emotionally indifferent. As Smith famously said:

“it is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest. We address ourselves not to their humanity but to their self-love and never talk to them of our own necessities but of their advantages. Nobody but a beggar chuses to depend chiefly upon the benevolence of his fellow-citizens”

Nothing in this means that Smith is denying the virtuousness of benevolence. When Smith came to write the Wealth of Nations he made it clear that the ‘wealth’ lay in the well-being of the people. This covered not only their material prosperity but also their moral welfare. Accordingly he thought to be in poverty is to be in a miserable condition and commerce is to be praised for improving human life.

The great achievement of the Wealth of Nations was to discern the principles of order in the seeming chaos of commercial or market behaviour – it wasn’t random, it could be reduced to some simple principles. It was for this reason that Smith was described as the Newton of political economy. It is no idle fact that the full title is Inquiry into Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations.

He identifies basic principles such as the human propensity to ‘truck, barter and exchange’ that he argues underlies the division of labour but says that this depends on a market and that requires some institutional structures like those that uphold justice such as government and how that in turn mutually relies on principles of public finance.

All of this is placed by Smith into a historical narrative. In his Glasgow lectures he had outlined an account of four stages of social organisation focused around the characteristic form of economic endeavour – hunter-gatherer, herder, farmer, commerce – and in the Wealth of Nations he gives a set-piece account of the transition from the farming to commerce. This process of social change was not brought about by deliberate human policy. This fact reveals for Smith a general truth about social life, namely, that it is pervaded by unintended consequences. This supports the widely-held view of Smith as an opponent of attempts to direct ‘the market’ but, in fact, what he really opposes is the attempt to direct individual’s activities, their ‘natural liberty’ to pursue their own ends in their own way. This is itself a ‘moral’ position and Smith never abandons that perspective.

Adam Smith | University of Glasgow

World Out of Balance

I’m going to say I’m in agreement on this article, the fun hasn’t started yet. World Out of Balance | NYTimes.com

Die Robin Hood Bankerin

Not your average banker. German banker admits transferring money from rich to help poorer clients | The Guardian

Contracts Try to Master the Universe

Covering most of the bases I guess… Lawyerese Goes Galactic as Contracts Try to Master the Universe | WSJ.com

The contract said, their act could be “edited, in all media, throughout the universe, in perpetuity.”